STA Monthly Meeting – October 2011
Robert’s presentation will cover:
- How quantitative trading methods fit into the broader context of technical analysis, efficient market hypothesis and fundamental analysis
- Practical methods for design, testing and validation of different classes of systems using a fully quantitative approach
- How trading optimisation, back-testing and walkforward back-testing models can be applied to different trading models to dramatically improve reliability and predictability
- Knowing when a quantitative system has ceased to be profitable
- The major pitfalls in developing predictive trading systems such as over-optimisation and curve-fitting.
Robert is a full time trader, trading systems developer and systems consultant. He is a director and investment manager at Crystal Blue (Aust) Pty Ltd where he manages family based funds.
STA Monthly Meeting – September 2011
Within his presentation, Richard will cover the current outlook for global fixed income markets, stocks and FX. He will highlight how he uses a combination of momentum, trending and sentiment to establish the directional risk and how he attempts to obtain full profit potential by staying with the trend.
Richard Adcock is managing director, Adcock Analysis, an independent technical research service, offering subscriptions for weekly reports and daily updates, on FX and rates markets. Adcock Analysis Ltd has been voted top independent technical research house for FX in 2017 & 2018, and Richard Top Fixed Income Technical Strategist, in the Technical Analyst magazine poll for 2009, 2011 & 2013, as well as runner up in 2010 and 2012. Top spot in the best Fixed Income Technical Analyst section of the Extel Awards was also achieved during his time with UBS.
STA Monthly Meeting & Summer Party – July 2011
As well as research into new indicators, and collaboration with the quantative world, it is “new data” that is seen as the most exciting area for new research.
At Credit Suisse, technical analysts work closely with their colleagues in the strategy teams to create and analyse bespoke sets of data. The result of this has been to generate excellent signals to identify a variety of major turning points across assets, and shifts in macro themes.
As an example of “new” data, David Sneddon will focus in more detail on the Credit Suisse Risk Appetite series of indices – Global, Equity, Credit & US Fixed Income – how they are constructed, analysed and the subsequent “risk on” and “risk off” signals. He will also briefly look at World Wealth.
David Sneddon is a managing director of Credit Suisse in the Investment Banking division, based in London. He is global head of Technical Analysis and is responsible for overseeing the entire technical analysis product, covering the Fixed Income, FX, Equity and Commodity markets, as well as the provision of technical analysis education within Credit Suisse and for clients globally.
STA Monthly Meeting – June 2011
Murray will present on how to combine the Elliott Wave Principle with Trend Following in order to enhance returns and seek out high probability opportunities. He will also address why Elliott’s Wave Principle is arguably the purest form of technical analysis and present his current market outlook across the macro asset class space, including some socionomic analysis.
Murray Gunn MSTA is Head of Research for Elliott Wave International’s Global Market Perspective, a monthly summary of the firm’s 25 analysts’ views on every major freely traded market in the world. (You can follow his Elliott Wave analysis at www.elliottwave.com)
STA Monthly Meeting – May 2011
Nick is a trend follower, using relative momentum, breakouts and volume, but also some seasonal work and other cycles. He will talk about how behavioural finance can explain why trends exist and persist, and which momentum measures work best, as well as reviewing some recent behavioural finance findings.
Nick Glydon has worked as a technical analyst since 1986, most recently at Credit Lyonnais, Flemings and JP Morgan. In 2003 he co-founded Redburn Partners, now Europe’s biggest independent equity broker.
STA Monthly Meeting – April 2011
Susan will take us through some recent and current trades to demonstrate how she uses her favoured techniques to select, plan, enter and to exit her trades. All with the emphasis on simplicity.
Susan has been managing her own money for nearly six years. She has a degree in Economics and Philosophy from the University of East Anglia, after which she spent nearly 25 years working in the advertising industry.
STA Monthly Meeting – March 2011
Management Joint Trust (MJT) offers an “All in one” online technical analysis solution based on a 3T methodology (Trend – Target – Timing). It uses a combination of two standard deviation envelopes to define the trend, periods of stress within this trend and calculate impulsive and corrective targets. The analysis is completed with two series of proprietary timing oscillators to anticipate future and confirm current high and low risk areas.
Jean-François Owczarczak, Edouard’s son and Director at MJT, will explain the main principles behind the methodology and review current markets using the online tool.
Edouard founded Management Joint Trust SA in 1969 in Geneva, Switzerland, and introduced in the early 1970’s the concept of an “All in one methodology” for technical analysis (Trend – Target – Timing).
Jean-François graduated from the University of St Gallen in 1997 with a Masters degree in Banking and Finance. He joined Management Joint Trust SA in 2003, having previously spent five years working in investment banking in London.
STA Monthly Meeting – February 2011
Thomas joined JPMorgan in September 2009, taking over the role of FX Technical Strategist. His main focus is on G10 and European currencies where he develops trading and investment strategies, mainly on the basis of Elliott and Fibonacci-applications.
STA Monthly Meeting – January 2011
William is a Technical Strategist responsible for contributing to the RBS Global Technical product across all asset classes. He joined RBS from Tradermade International in 2009.
Tim manages technical strategy for fixed income and foreign exchange at Lloyds Bank in London. He has over 25 years’ experience of trading, sales and strategy and has been a member of the STA for the last 10 years. Tim applies a blend of trend-following with contrarian indicators, principally Ichimoku and DeMark, across all asset classes and timeframes. In addition to a passion for classical languages, he has also been spotted more recently in the gym.
Peter is the founding partner of WaveTrack International and has published Elliott Wave analysis for all of the four asset classes for over 20 years. He is the author of the monthly institutional EW-Navigator and the biweekly shorter-term EW-Compass reports.
Brenda has been Head of Research at Sucden Financial Ltd since 2008. Brenda and her team provide economic and related views with technical analysis on a wide range of markets.
STA Monthly Meeting & Christmas Party – December 2010
On the night of the STA Christmas party he will give a humorous, seasonal review of Technical Analysis and it’s relevance to “Life, the Universe, and Everything.” Robin looks back on a life time in the City and will reveal all the secrets he has learned over the years, if he can remember them. Failing that we will have a jolly good Christmas party.
Robin Griffiths is one of the world’s most experienced and highly regarded market analysts. Together with Rashpal Sohan, Robin is joint managing editor of Dynamic Investment Trends Alert, published by Southbank Investment Research.
STA Monthly Meeting – November 2010
During his talk Jeff will share with the audience his experiences and personal techniques for successfully integrating the technicals with the fundamentals, and provide some of his current views on the markets.
Jeff Hochman is Director of Technical Strategy at Fidelity Worldwide Investment. In his current role, Jeff manages a team of Technical Analysts with whom he provides support to Equity Fund Managers and Equity Research Analysts at both stock picking and macro asset allocation levels. He also frequently represents Fidelity to clients, the press and at conferences.
STA Monthly Meeting – October 2010
Mr Meisels will be talking about the 40-year cycle. According to him since 1789 the US equity market has experienced six secular cycles. They consist of a secular bull and a secular bear phase and last approximately 40 years. The secular bull consists of numerous (± 4 year) Dunbar Cycles which usually have progressively higher highs and higher lows. The secular bear consists of two Dunbar Cycles, where the second is rarely higher than the first, and where one of the bear phases is significantly worse than the other.
Elliott Wave Theory forces each secular cycle into a larger entity (Supercycle, Grand Supercycle, etc.) whereas one, according to Ron, should look at each separately. Once the two bear markets within the secular bear are completed (most recently in March 2009), the secular bear is over, and a new secular cycle begins. Therefore, there is no reason to maintain that we are still in a secular bear market.
Ron Meisels is the developer of the “Meisels Index”, an overbought/oversold indicator based on daily closings prices. He is a highly respected technical analyst with over 40 years of stock market experience and the founder and president of Phases & Cycles Inc.
STA Monthly Meeting – September 2010
The BNP Paribas Currency Bias Indicator is generated from the bank’s system of trading models and provides a ranking of the relative strength of currencies based on their current trading performance. The performance of each currency is compared to every other currency within the BNP Paribas system of models to identify currencies which may be gaining or losing relative strength, or are at an overextended position (bullish or bearish extremes). The system provides a good indicator of when currencies are set to accelerate trends, or are vulnerable to a correction (or even a change in trend). It can be deployed across multiply time scales to provide intraday automated trading signals, right through to providing a systematic portfolio hedging tool.
Ian Stannard is the Senior Currency Strategist for BNP Paribas in London, with 25 years experience in financial markets. Ian combines Fundamental Economic Research with Technical/Quantitative and Flow Analysis to provide FX Strategies.
STA Monthly Meeting & Summer Party – July 2010
The American humourist Mark Twain said more than 100 years ago that “September was a bad month for the (stock) markets, as was October, November, December etc.”
Therefore, one has to ask if you ‘darling buds of M-A-Y’ saw IT coming way back when we uttered a major sigh of relief that 2009 was finally over! Did we see the Euro falling to a 4-year low @ $1.1876, the Swiss Franc once again becoming a safe haven and what about gold…$1,250+ and going higher with bond rates falling? Well, the world’s bond markets have been telling this old fundamentalist…where is Da Inflation?
In almost 40 years in the financial markets, this has been a trying year and Bill cannot see where it will all end, but he says that there have been so many fantastic opportunities in the past 18 months – Barclays Bank/Fresnillo/Lloyds Bank/Bonds/Citigroup etc. Are the charts telling us now to BUY…”Beijing Petroleum?”
All will be revealed at the summer party, at Bill’s old stomping ground…Bloomberg.
Bill graduated from the University of Virginia in 1966 and also has an MBA from the Thunderbird Graduate School of International Management, Phoenix. He first joined Morgan Guaranty on the government bond desk. After various stints as a broker to some famous names, he moved to the UK in 1997, when he joined Bloomberg.
STA Dublin Chapter Meeting – June 2010
After graduating from the London School of Economics Nicole Elliott started her banking career in the City of London in 1982. Whether in trading, sales or an advisory capacity Technical Analysis has been the bedrock of her methodology.
