Having been a technical analyst since 1963, Brian brings the benefit of perspective to his analysis of the markets. He worked at Investors Overseas Services and then at NM Rothschild & Sons. He was the first fund manager in the UK to manage large funds using only technical analysis.

For six successive years, institutional investors voted him the best technical analyst in the City. He also has an outstanding FX forecasting record.

In the 1980s he was a member of the Visiting Faculty of International Management Institute (Geneva), the oldestestablished business school in Europe. He has taught technical analysis at the Ministry of Finance in Singapore.

His book “Marber on Markets” was published in the UK in 2007, in India in 2008, and is due to be published, in translation, in China.

Brian can’t share all of his 54 years experience with you in 45 minutes but he will give it a good shot.

Dr Osler’s early research focused on technical trading, which has long been standard operating procedure for most currency traders. Her research on the head-andshoulders pattern, one of the first rigorous tests of a visual chart pattern, showed that trading on this pattern is profitable in two of the major currencies, dollar-yen and dollar-DEM. She also showed that support and resistance levels from professional technical analysts have significant predictive power for major exchange rates. Additional research identifies order clustering as a potential source of the predictive power of these technical levels.

Dr Osler will be talking about some of her earlier as well as more recent research related to technical analysis and will explain her findings.

Bill started investing in 1970. He retired from legal practice in 1999, and has been trading ever since. In 2001 he became technical editor of Chart Insight published by Hemscott, and in 2004 started his own website Chart-Guide.com, now part of Rivington Street Holdings plc, specializing in Elliott wave index trading.

Bill trades mainly the DJIA and FTSE 100, with a background interest in cable, gold and crude oil. Since 2002 the waves in the markets have behaved very differently from how they did in the 1930’s when Elliott discovered the principle. The 1930’s was an era of much greater social conformity than today, economic activity was depressed, and liquidity in markets was very low. This resulted in much more cohesive and clear wave structures in financial markets than today, when unprecedented liquidity and computerized trading has lead to more distortion and ambiguity. This has lead Bill to incorporate Gann fractions as well as Fibonacci into his Elliott wave analysis which gives useful additional guidance when wave counts are unclear, as they are now, rather more frequently.

Ichimoku Kinko Hyo is called the at-a-glance chart. This study does indeed give a full picture at a glance, also by resonating with concepts found in other studies. After a quick look at interpretation, the role of the cloud will be dissected in detail. Links and confirmations to moving averages, Stochastics, MACD, DMI and Elliott will also be shown.

Bill will draw on his vast market and life experience to explain how foreign exchange markets provide the ideal platform for investors to participate in the financial markets with 100s of FX pairs available to trade 24-7 in all parts of the world and not feel constrained by having to trade instruments which are opaque. His customer base feels that they are trading on a level playing field and can make decisions based on fundamental and technical analysis and their local knowledge.

Bill will share some insights into his long and colourful career as a trader, broker and market journalist and explain his views on the US dollar.

Thierry will be explaining how he successfully forecasts the FTSE 100 with e-yield indicators. These are the Bullish Trend Indicator (BTI), 13-day BTI and Top 20 Differential. His approach is based on combining Elliott wave theory with his own indicators. He will explain how these indicators work and how they can be integrated in a simple strategy to produce an accurate forecast. Elliott wave theory on its own can be confusing and these indicators have been developed to confirm the position of the Elliott wave count. Thierry will demonstrate how the BTI can help identify Elliott wave patterns and how to use the 13-day BTI and Top 20 Differential as timing indicators. He will show how these two indicators have a good track record at finding market highs and lows.

The predominant market activity is one of range trading; most asset classes trend far less than is commonly perceived. The correct selection of technical indicators will depend on identifying the phase of the market. Kevin will discuss how emotional biases drive price action and can prompt trends to extend beyond the bounds of a normal Gaussian curve into the “fat tails” of the distribution. He has been a user of technical analysis throughout his career and after witnessing behavioural biases first hand in the open outcry-markets now uses trend strength and momentum techniques to disqualify “noise” trading and quantify the intensity of directional moves.

Julien will start his talk by explaining how he approaches technical analysis and which tools he uses. He will then go on to show his audience how to apply these different tools and how to incorporate them into asset management and trading. Special attention will be placed upon medium-term cycles and how to use these in short-term strategies. Julien will also explain his current forecasts on financial markets in general.

His talk will consist of a broad ranging treatise on the philosophy of technical analysis, in particular an examination of the tension between art and science inherent in the discipline. It is not meant to be authoritative in academic terms, but rather will be an attempt to apply the experience of 20 years as a commercial agent in technical analysis to the broader concepts which so many practitioners take for granted. He will touch on technical patterns and pattern recognition, psychology and behavioural, economics, art and science.

This talk will look at DeMark’s Oscillators – in particular the TD Demarker and Range Expansion Index. Tom is best known for his market exhaustion techniques, TD Sequential and TD Combo, but much of his other work is underappreciated. This talk will look at these excellent and innovative technical indicators and especially at how to use them in practice.

Brian will cover the properties of mathematical sine waves and the effect of various moving averages on these. He will then highlight the difficulties caused by the variations in amplitude, wavelength and phase of the cycles present in market data. However, techniques will be described which will find the small number (10%) of securities (or indices, forex) whose cycles are currently passing through a period of stability. These stable cycles can be isolated and categorised into short, medium and long term wavelengths. The summation of the stable cycles in each category gives a very accurate prediction of trends into the near future.

Several cycles reached critical points in May 2000. These cycles continue to resonate. Christeen’s presentation will look closely at these unfolding cycles and suggest periods of extraordinary activity in 2009. Cycles to be considered include the Saturn-Pluto cycle and recession, the Jupiter- Neptune cycle: inflation and oil prices and Pluto’s recent Capricorn ingress, and what this might mean for the banking industry and mortgage markets in the UK and US. Although these outer planet movements are slow, their effect is triggered by the patterns created with the so-called “inner” planets, Mercury and Venus. Christeen will also cover the effect of these planet cycles on gold and sterling. The conclusion will focus on the opening months of 2010, and the real credit bubble burst, indicated by the extraordinary planet formations of that period.

Marc’s book on swing trading is devoted mainly to the use of point & figure charts and swing charts. Marc has introduced a subset of rules which make pioneering alterations to the swing charts proposed by WD Gann. The modifications are intended to improve risk/reward for traders and investors but also to make trend definition more accurate.

In this talk Marc examines how swing charts have stood the test of time since his last talk to the Society in May 2004.