The STA Blog - Markets - Page 15
Are you a superforecaster? I’m not
But I know of one who is! Philip E Tetlock, and colleague Dan Gardner, are the authors of the book ‘Superforecasting: the Art and Science of Prediction’ published by Cornerstone Digital in 2015. A Toronto-born academic, he works at the […]
The New Beginners, Please The Investors Chronicle 1975
And how I get by with a little help from my friends. This gem of a book was included in our book club article in Market Technician magazine, issue 84, because it’s a favourite of STA Committee member Mark Tennyson […]
Tags: Books, classics
Remembering Brian Marber: Who died last month
STA members and the Committee are always a font of knowledge. Now that they know I’m always on the lookout for ‘content’ – as it’s known in the trade – they give me leads for further enquiry, newspaper clippings, photos […]
‘The Life Cycle Hypothesis’ – Tony Plummer’s talk and book
Front row seats for veteran technical analysts, Trevor Neil and myself, at this eagerly awaited presentation. WD Gann expert Tony kicked off saying that the US economy has a 36-year cycle. I don’t know what cycle our speaker’s body clock […]
Famous fifteen have fun: Running 5K in the sun
On the hottest day so far this year, amid weather warnings from the organisers and signal failure causing untold disruption on all London south-bound trains, the intrepid STA fun-runners pitched up for another fund-raising event. An established date of the […]
Tags: charity, events, fun run, Team Building
50th Birthday Party: Because we’re worth it!
Dear Reader, In case you couldn’t make it, or that you didn’t manage to get round to talking to all the interesting people who were there, this week your scribe will try and give you a glimpse of what must […]
Tags: City Hall, Golden Anniversary, Party, STA, Technical Analysis Courses, Technical Analysis Training
Being mean with a pitchfork: And blowing out Bollinger
Recent speakers at STA monthly meetings have given a couple of interesting talks on the Andrews pitchfork and its modified version, written up in this blog earlier. I have certainly used the analysis for many years and find it useful, […]
Body language rules: 12 ways to be a more powerful speaker
You’re probably thinking: What on earth has this got to do with technical analysis? Well, in my efforts to make this blog relevant/interesting/amusing to STA members and their friends, I trawl media sources for stories, articles and all sorts. To […]
Tags: posture, presentations, Public speaking, Technical Analysis Courses
The Gartley Pattern: ‘Harmonic Trading’
I always enjoy going to the STA’s monthly meetings. Sometimes the speakers are entertaining and amusing, more often than not they make me sit up and listen. Occasionally I learn to see things in a different way, and even if […]
Tags: Chart patterns, correction, Harmonic, Technical Analysis Courses, Waves
For traders, its all in the mind: Says Paul McLaren
Australia’s Paul McLaren literally flew in and flew out to give his talk at the STA’s May monthly meeting. I know this because his Facebook entry says he’s been on 19 different flights to 13 countries recently. He also took […]
Tags: bias, confirmation, perspective, Technical Analysis Courses
Jesse Livermore Boy Plunger by Tom Rubython
Subtitled ‘The Man Who Sold America Short in 1929’, and with a foreword by famous American trader Paul Tudor Jones, this is a book I can recommend. I thought it would be a good read because its author, who spoke […]
Tags: Bear Market, short-selling, Speculating, Stocks
Payback time for QE looms: And it will be pricey
So wrote Merryn Somerset Webb in her Investing column in the FT Money section of the latest Weekend Financial Times. I attach the chart she used for the article, and am tempted to change the title of my piece to: […]
Tags: Assets, bonds, Payback, Quantative Easing
Technical Analysis goes full throttle Mood and the quest for speed
A couple of weeks ago we wrote about the book edited by Robert Prechter, Socionomic Studies of Society and Culture. We return to it this week because Chapter 34 was reprinted with permission from Murray Gunn, an article he had […]
Tags: motorbikes, Social Trends, Socionomics, speed
Socionomic Studies of Society and Culture: Edited by Robert R Prechter
Robert Prechter is a perennial favourite among technical analysts, having revived the work of R. N. Elliott and lectured on the subject all over the world. More recently he has been concentrating on the Socionomics Institute, a research centre dedicated […]
Tags: Mood, Prediction, Social Trends, Socionomics
Trending FAANGS Markets, fashion and technical analysis tools
Continuing on from last week’s blog where we looked at the resurgence in the popularity of the Andrews pitchfork, this week’s focus is linked to how fickle is fashion, how suddenly things can change, and when to spot a turn […]
Tags: fashion, reversals, swings, Technology
Pitching a pitchfork All the vogue this spring
No, the STA isn’t a slavish follower of trends, let alone fashion. Catwalks, including the IPO and takeover kind, have their place, as do more conventional designer ones – even the Sylvanian Families toy one in Hamleys this Easter. Yes, […]
Tags: Andrews Pitchfork, Mean Regression, Median Line
Towering figures in finance: Take a tumble
Isn’t life funny? Last week I wrote about Charles Mackay – he of the Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds 1841 book – who said, ‘those who sound the alarm over an approaching railway crisis have somewhat exaggerated […]
Tags: Biography, crash, publishing, Speculation
Tim Harford: The undercover economist
Writing for the Financial Times stable as I do, you might assume I’m biased. More realistically, as a technical analyst you’re probably going to ask, why on earth have I chosen to focus on this chap, this week? Because he’s […]
Tags: Bubbles, Economists, Prediction, Speculation
Simply Measured Measures social media
As a financial journalist I get access to all sorts of email – solicited and sack-loads of unsolicited, research papers, books to review, reader comments and so on. At the STA I am their e-journalist, writing this blog on www.technicalanalysts.com […]
Tags: analytics, marketing, Social media
Fib’s fab: Three cheers for Fibonacci!
Most technical analysts will probably agree that Fibonacci retracements are one of our favourite tools. After drawing trend lines – which might be likened to the kids’ game of joining the dots – and moving averages (simple or otherwise), these […]
Tags: Divine Proportion, Fibonacci, ratio, Retracement
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