The STA Blog - Markets - Page 20
Long term charts: Like gold dust
Throughout my career I have placed an inordinate value on long term charts. In this day and age of on-line information, where allegedly everything is available at the touch of a button, scratch a little and you’ll find this is […]
Tags: debt, deflation, Long term history, yield
Gloomy technical analysts get press coverage
Earlier this year – mid-February to be precise – the Weekend FT’s Money section printed an article by John Dizard. Considered one of their more serious commentators, the piece was entitled ‘Technical analysts have a pretty gloomy outlook for risk […]
Tags: inflation, long term trends, Martin Pring, Relative charts
Gann again: A great trader
Recent work of mine on Fibonacci, inspired in part by the mathematical garden at the Chelsea Flower Show (designed by silver gilt winner and head gardener at the Chelsea Physic Garden Nick Bailey), started me thinking about magical numbers. These […]
Bank underground: An STA shortcut?
Not the quickest route to the STA’s monthly meeting but the Bank of England’s blog for staff to share views. http://bankunderground.co.uk/ When Dan Nixon of the Stakeholders Communications & Strategy division writes thus: Economic theory generally assumes that more consumption […]
Tags: ageing, Austerity, Bank of England, demographics
The value of volatility: Measures and comparisons
Approached by an STA member recently at a monthly meeting, he showed me a very interesting report by FTSE Russell, an organisation producing equity benchmarks and research on these, wholly owned by the London Stock Exchange Group. Of the five […]
Tags: large cap, small cap, stock markets, UK indices, volatility
Come to the monthly meeting: But leave your ego at home
Yesterday Thomas Anthonj of JP Morgan Securities, Ltd. was invited back to tell STA members more about his successful systematic trading method which is based on Elliott Wave theory and Fibonacci applications. As a foreign exchange strategist for the firm […]
Looking ahead: With stats or a crystal ball
All of us would probably like to know what’ll happen next; it’d make life so much easier, knowing what to prepare for and when – no doubt leading to a more fulfilling, if not accepting/fatalistic existence. Mind you, pity the […]
Tags: fashion, food, marketing, Predicting
Of predictive value: yes or no?
Very recently I came across this chart of the S&P 500 index. It shows the major downturns it has seen four times since the 1970’s, where each one starts at a theoretical 1 (or 100 per cent). Every one of […]
Tags: Dow Jones Industrial Average, Nikkei 225, S&P 500
Secrets of the Charts: As revealed by Shares magazine
A colleague last week brought to my attention an article in the latest issue of Shares magazine and asked what I had thought of it. Not only did I have to admit that I hadn’t seen it – ‘yet’ I […]
Tags: article, Education, mainstream, media
Fundamental analysis: Through the eyes of a techie
Oh not that old chestnut, you groan! No chance, not here that’s for sure. The arguments and discussions surrounding the relative merits of fundamental versus technical analysis are too old hat, blinkered and dreary and only for the bigoted. But […]
Tags: charts, Fundamental analysis, marketing timing
Maximising moving averages with histograms
Loved by the trading community and developed by Gerald Appel about forty years ago the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD as it’s usually known) aims to drill down into trends – and when they begin to lose momentum. Calculated by subtracting […]
Tags: DPO, histogram, MACD, moving averages
Why investors keep buying shares that are bad for them
Dr Keith Anderson, lecturer of accounting and finance at the University of York, and also a guest speaker at one of our monthly STA meetings had an article recently printed in the Interactive Investor. Click on link below to read. […]
Pattern recognition: Man versus machine
To coincide with St Patrick’s Day last week Scientific American posted on social media a short video to help you spot a four-leaf clover. Presented by a self-confessed egg-head, the focus is on pattern recognition and how science can help […]
Tags: artificial intelligence, Chart patterns, recognition
A sense of perspective: How much does one need
Looking at the beautiful photos taken by British astronaut Tim Peake from the International Space Station reminded me of how important distance and familiarity are to technical analysis. When charting a new market or instrument I always insist on starting […]
Tags: data history, Foreign exchange, perspective
Peaks and tops: Markets and trends
As technical analysts we are all too aware of the sort of chart patterns we should look for at market tops. Double and triple tops, quadruple ones even, the ubiquitous head and shoulders, islands, shooting or evening stars and hanging […]
Tom DeMark finds the time: Creator of DeMark Indicators
Introduced by Guido Riolo, Bloomberg’s Head of Charting, as ‘a genius of the world of finance’ whose Sequential®, Combo®, and TD Lines® the terminal supplies, audience expectations were running high at the STA’s monthly meeting. A heavyweight in the world […]
Tags: day counts, exhaustion, Market timing
STA at The Shard: Joint event with Warwick Business School
Organised by Tom Hicks MENG MSTA MSCI, and more importantly the STA’s Head of Programmes, for many members it was an opportunity to scale new heights – if you could manage the rather complicated lifts to the 17th floor, that […]
Tags: flows, moving average, Psychology, uncertainty
Review: Fortune Tellers, Walter A Friedman
An idea suggested by STA members, and one I wholeheartedly support, is not a ‘Book Club’ as such (way too bourgeois) but a forum to showcase and discuss books that are either new, useful, or beautiful (to paraphrase William Morris); […]
Tags: Babson, forecasting, Moody, Prediction
Secondary, tertiary, and other indicators
We all know that the prime mover of technical analysis is a time series analysis of market prices, sometimes labelled as ‘descriptive statistics’ by statisticians. They then call all further analysis based on this data ‘inductive statistics’ which include forecasts, generalisations, and extrapolations.
Annual panel debate: A broad-ranging discussion
Rather than the usual monthly format of guest speaker presentation followed by a handful of questions, January’s get together encourages audience participation and debate between the speakers themselves. The STA was lucky to have a panel of three very different […]
Tags: bonds, commodities, FX, Stocks
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