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Moving back in time: While looking at life through a different prism
An obituary written by Martin Sandbu for the Weekend FT (30-31 March 2024) set me reminiscing – and wondering how things might have been. It took me back to autumn 1975 when I applied to study Social Psychology as an […]
Tags: behaviour, Choices, Social psychology
STA Podcast with Matthew Buxton MSTA: Ahead of the STA’s Technicals to Trading Systems Conference
Another in the series of STA podcasts conducted by Board Member Gerry Celaya, this time with Matthew Buxton, CEO and Head of Algorithmic Trading at London’s FTP Capital since November 2020. Matthew will be the final speaker of the one-day […]
Tags: Renko charts, risk, systematic trading
STA Podcast with Stephen Hoad: Ahead of the Technicals to Trading Systems Conference
Another in the series of STA podcasts conducted by Board Member Gerry Celaya, this time with Stephen Hoad, CEO of The Stop Hunter since 2015. Obviously conducted over telephonic/digital devices as Gerry lives in Aberdeenshire and Stephen in the delightfully […]
How NOT to write about the markets: As a technical analyst, economist or media pundit
The title says ‘write’ but the suggestions and pointers in this article apply not only to print but also voice and video content. First and foremost: don’t assume that rising prices are ‘good’ and falling ones ‘bad’. We are not […]
Tags: Hyperbole, Innuendo, media, Vocabulary
Books embracing Risk-Taking: Or cautionary tales for want to be traders?
At the end of last month the Books section of the Weekend FT carried a review by Andrew Hill, senior business writer at the FT, of two Harvard-linked writers pondering the viability of sensible risk-taking. These were not the more […]
Tags: failure, innovation, losses, risk
‘Elliott Wave Outlook on Global Equity Markets’: The GPS of the markets works on fractals
A virtual STA monthly meeting 12th September 2023 saw a presentation by Ashish Kyal who describes himself as: ‘Trader, Mentor and Founder of Wavesstrategy.com’. Based in Mumbai, it was nice to see that his many Indian followers had signed up […]
Tags: cycles, Elliott, Fibonacci, Waves
Point and Figure is Pro-Level Tic, Tac, Toe: Noughts and Crosses to us Brits
Andreas Clenow flew in from Zurich to give an in-person presentation at June’s regular STA monthly meeting. Billed in a lengthy promotional email as: ‘This presentation will demonstrate that there are flaws in point and figure which can be fixed. […]
Rectangles and straightjackets: Can cause chaos
A very long time ago a journalist specialising in Indian stocks working for the Hindustan Times contacted me at the dealing room of the Japanese bank where I worked as a technical analyst. He wanted views and comment, especially on […]
Tags: Breakouts, measurements, Ranges, rectangle
Long nights and long term forecasts: Winter in the Northern hemisphere
For weeks now sundry pundits, economists and technical analysts have been laying out their plans and predictions for the year 2023 – and some dare go beyond that. I suppose the best that might be said is that the huge […]
Tags: forecasts, Outlook, seasonals
IFTA ramping up their webinars: organised by Bruce Fraser
The International Federation of Technical Analysts www.ifta.org, of which the UK’s Society of Technical Analysts (STA) is one of 20 members, has for many years hosted annual conferences; the next one will be from the 7th to 9th October in […]
Tags: closing prices, corrections, Elliott Wave, impulse waves, time
Top to toe Crypto: An IFTA presentation by Alessio Rutigliano
Thursday 23rd March 2022 Alessio gave an excellent webinar for the International Federation of Technical Analysts (IFTA) entitled ‘Crypto Markets and the Wyckoff Method: A Top-Down Approach’. He’s a teaching instructor @WyckoffAnalysis whose website is www.wyckoffanalytics.com. Not being exactly au-fait […]
Tags: Crypto, Sector Rotation, Speculation, volatility, Wyckoff
Can you handle rejection? And do you even know when it’s happened?
The teenage girlfriend two-timed you; your friends will tell you soon enough. Your lover ghosted you; it could take a while to get to grips with what’s going on. You were blackballed by your club or cancelled by your gang; […]
Tags: Candlesticks, reversal, spike high, trend change, volume
Time to tot up the year: One of the few weeks that warrants watching annual charts
Most day traders and small-time punters will groan when asked to look at a chart where each candlestick (or bar) encompasses a whole year’s worth of price action. But you see, understanding the big picture parameters are key to long […]
Tags: confirmation, Confluence, Fractals, time horizon
Don’t get bogged down watching the same old markets: Broaden your horizons and add to your knowledge
A famous quote I love is this one from Eleanor Roosevelt: ‘I think, at a child’s birth, if a mother could ask a fairy godmother to endow it with the most useful gift, that gift should be curiosity.’ A firm […]
Tags: Education, Indices, volatility
‘New Thought on Market Profile’: Trading the Flow of Control
Robin Mesch, President of Mesch Capital Management INC of Portland, Oregon, gave an excellent presentation at yesterday’s (11 May 2021) STA Monthly Meeting. Her speciality is Market Profile, learnt first hand from its developer Peter Steidlmayer, who also set up […]
Tags: Controlling, Market Profile, Modes
Markets, motion and moving averages: Alternative options for a perennial favourite
All and sundry use moving averages, wittingly or unwittingly. A long-standing tool of choice for many technical analysts, the method, in its many guises, is used by other financial professionals, laymen and statisticians around the globe. Take UK consumer prices […]
Tags: crossover, moving averages, time intervals, weighting
Price, price relative, and spreads: Variations on a price chart
As pointed out a fortnight ago in the STA blog, I believe that Charles Dow’s third tenet, that the market discounts all news, is the most important of his six. Put it another way, price contains all current knowledge, expectations […]
Tags: ratio, regression, relative, Spreads
‘Global Outlook and the Minsky Risk’: A presentation by Ron William CFTe MSTA for IFTA
I was 13 minutes late for yesterday’s (25th February 2021) IFTA webinar presentation hosted by Wieland Arlt, board member of Germany’s VTAD technical analysis society. I felt terrible as I’d recently heard that a job-seeker’s interview had been immediately terminated […]
Tags: risk, S&P 500, Vix
Dow Theory – in case you’ve forgotten: Digging a little deeper to banish glib assumptions
My father is Charles Dow – yes really; Charles Robert Dow, not the one you’re probably thinking of. Charles Henry Dow (1851-1902) is way too old, old enough to be my great grandfather. He’s not, but he’s certainly considered the […]
Tags: 6 Tenets, Body of Knowledge, Dow theory, Indices
Coincidence, correlation and confluence: Looking at the US stock market from three different angles
In the last week of January US stocks and their indices saw volatility pick up sharply. Mainstream media, which often overlooks business news in favour of something political – or better still gory – at long last jumped on the […]
Tags: Ichimoku Clouds, moving averages, S&P 500, Silver
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