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‘Bubble Trouble’: Revisiting the work of Charles Mackay
Saturday’s FT Weekend Magazine’s (28/01/23) cover trumpeted a feature about ‘bulbs, Birkins, bored apes’ by Tim Harford. A provider of media content for print and radio, I find him engaging and surprisingly witty – for an economist. His premise: ‘What […]
Tags: Bubbles, madness. irrational exhuberance, manias
January is a long month: Its tempting to wish it away
Despite New Year festivities in the majority of countries which follow the Gregorian calendar, and Lunar New Year which this year started on 22nd January and causes the biggest annual mass migration (China), plus the easing of travel restrictions as […]
Tags: Andrews Pitchfork, Ichimoku Clouds, moving averages
STA, ACI UK & The Broker Club Joint Panel Debate: Market Outlook for 2023: Fundamental vs Technicals Perspective
Revisiting a format the STA has embraced for some years now, January’s regular monthly meeting on the 10th was a panel discussion on the outlook for foreign exchange markets in 2023. Speakers were asked to stick rigidly to their allocated […]
Tags: economics, forecast, Fundamentals, income
The year 2022 in words and charts: Dismal indeed
Most fund managers will admit that 2022 was a ‘difficult’ year; few will admit that if annual report cards were given out (as schoolteachers give to parents) the summary would read FAIL. Even fewer will go as far as admitting […]
Tags: Annual charts, doji candle, violent reversals
Happy Holiday and Best Wishes for the New Year
Wishing all members, colleagues and followers of the STA a very Merry Christmas and Happy New Year! The STA office will be closed on Friday 23 December until Tuesday 3 Janary 2023. We look forward to reconnecting with you all […]
Long nights and long term forecasts: Winter in the Northern hemisphere
For weeks now sundry pundits, economists and technical analysts have been laying out their plans and predictions for the year 2023 – and some dare go beyond that. I suppose the best that might be said is that the huge […]
Tags: forecasts, Outlook, seasonals
How to cope with holidays: All year around
I’m not going to resort to the usual media drivel to pad out a lean time for news. Nor am I going to tell you sanctimonious stories about dealing with too much food, the ‘outlaws’ and competitive parlour games. I’m […]
Tags: days in a week, gaps, hours in a day
Looking forwards and backwards: At this time of year
The child in me still looks forward to opening the little windows on her Advent calendar. Not the rather crass ones filled with chocolates and what not, but the traditional type where the fun is just seeing the picture behind. […]
Tags: evening stars, monthly charts, three-candle patterns
Long term weather forecast for power trading: Webinar from Refinitiv 17 November 2022
Refiinitiv Eikon presented a very interesting webinar last Thursday, with content provided by their European Power team. Despite being a lifelong fan of the Reuters terminal, now in its new incarnation as Refiniitiv Xenith, I wasn’t aware that they were […]
Tags: forecast, time horizon, Weather
‘Are you delusional?’: The title of Victoria Shepherd’s recent magazine article
The Autumn 2022 issue of the New Humanist contains this article, written to coincide with the publication of her latest book: ‘’A History of Delusions; the Glass King, a Substitute Husband and a Walking Corpse’’ (Blackstone Publishing). If that doesn’t […]
Tags: Psychology, unexpected
Larry the lad looking good: Despite trading since 1962
I was so looking forward to Larry Williams’ Fireside Chat with the STA’s Jeff Boccaccio on Tuesday the 8th November. For the first time the web-based presentation was open to STA members, their guests, plus all and sundry as a […]
Tags: charity, emotions, indicators, Risk management, seasonals
The Day of the (Living) Dead: Ghosts and ghouls at this time of year
Halloween yesterday on the 31st October passed without incident – despite an unexpected carved orange pumpkin being plonked on my gatepost. All Saints Day today, 1st November, has seen drizzle, sudden downpours and bright sunshine alternate quickly in London. Tomorrow, […]
Tags: background, Bear markets, depression, loss
Premiere of Energy Trading Week’s videos: Shared with speakers and attendees of their event in September
Yesterday, the 24th October 2022, the brains behind Energy Trading Week held a Zoom premiere to accompany the release of videos of the talks they hosted to hundreds, live at County Hall, London in September. Moderated by Marie Féjoz, Content […]
Tags: commodities, energy, environment, LNG, panellists
Four UK Chancellors – and counting: Counting the cost of the latest fiasco
A difficult year for the British economy and daunting times for its people. ‘Party gate’ toppled a Prime Minister who had won an election with a very large Conservative majority. It then took months of beauty parades to choose a […]
Jeff Boccaccio’s R-factory: And how it’s been trained to trade crypto
An interesting audience rocked up on Tuesday the 11th October’s STA monthly meeting – in-person at One Moorgate Place. Board member Jeff had probably enticed them with the title of his talk: ‘Simplifying (and Automating) Crypto in 3 Indicators’. Pals […]
Tags: Crypto, filters, systems
Torrid time for Ms Truss and Co: Sterling markets in the eye of the storm
On Thursday the 7th July 2022 Boris Johnson resigned. Since then Britain has been pretty much rudderless with an ugly beauty contest for who was to be the next Prime Minister, no Queen and a country in mourning, a long-in-the-tooth […]
Tags: Bank of England, FX, Gilts, Pensions
STA Freedom Party II at the National Liberal Club
There was a lot of catching up to do what with lockdowns and post-Covid, which resulted in a great turnout for the second informal STA party. As well as drinks and canapés, we were there for the awarding of Diploma […]
Tags: awards, Bronwen Wood, Diploma, Party
‘Analysing Alternative Data’: A Power Point presentation for the STA
Tuesday the 13th of September 2022 Steve O’Hare had been booked to present a webinar for STA members on his current favourite subject – multi-language research and trade ideas using technical analysis. Beforehand I looked him up on LinkedIn which […]
Tags: artificial intelligence, data, edge, Sentiment
News and views from the Bank of England: ‘Charts and Fundamentals in the Foreign Exchange Market’
Many central banks are in hot water at the moment. Some, as the saying goes, are like frogs and toads which, when placed in a pan of tepid water and then heated up, boil to death rather than jump free […]
Tags: Academic Input, Foreign exchange, Research papers
Do you like a Linker? If not, why not?
For UK-based readers it probably cannot have escaped your notice that inflation in the year to July 2022 is sky high. Data published yesterday (17/08/2022) by the Office for National Statistics showed that the consumer price index (CPI) was running […]
Tags: inflation, real yield, Sovereign bonds
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