The STA Blog - Technical Analysis Training
Seasonality, Cyclicals and Statistics: Probability rules!
Tuesday 12th November was the eagerly awaited STA monthly meeting with Dimitry Speck, creator and founder of Seasonax, presenting his ideas and software system. Unfortunately the poor man got Covid but had, at very short notice, managed to rope in […]
Tags: cycles, data, probability, seasons
Annual STA Fellows’ Lunch: Not a Board meeting, just for fun
There are four levels of STA membership: Associate for those with an interest in technical analysis but who have no formal qualifications; Full Member for those who have passed the STA Diploma course and can use the letters MSTA after […]
STA Podcast with Stephen Hoad: Ahead of the Technicals to Trading Systems Conference
Another in the series of STA podcasts conducted by Board Member Gerry Celaya, this time with Stephen Hoad, CEO of The Stop Hunter since 2015. Obviously conducted over telephonic/digital devices as Gerry lives in Aberdeenshire and Stephen in the delightfully […]
Books embracing Risk-Taking: Or cautionary tales for want to be traders?
At the end of last month the Books section of the Weekend FT carried a review by Andrew Hill, senior business writer at the FT, of two Harvard-linked writers pondering the viability of sensible risk-taking. These were not the more […]
Tags: failure, innovation, losses, risk
‘Elliott Wave Outlook on Global Equity Markets’: The GPS of the markets works on fractals
A virtual STA monthly meeting 12th September 2023 saw a presentation by Ashish Kyal who describes himself as: ‘Trader, Mentor and Founder of Wavesstrategy.com’. Based in Mumbai, it was nice to see that his many Indian followers had signed up […]
Tags: cycles, Elliott, Fibonacci, Waves
Point and Figure is Pro-Level Tic, Tac, Toe: Noughts and Crosses to us Brits
Andreas Clenow flew in from Zurich to give an in-person presentation at June’s regular STA monthly meeting. Billed in a lengthy promotional email as: ‘This presentation will demonstrate that there are flaws in point and figure which can be fixed. […]
The World for Sale: Money, Power and the Traders who Barter the Earth’s Resources
This book’s title has a little in it for just about everyone. Money, power (including political), avarice, swindling – not forgetting deforestation and climate change. I recently read its review, by Felix Martin of fund manager 1167 Capital, in FT […]
Tags: commodities, traders
‘Flash Crash’ in review: Were they looking for just anyone to blame?
Almost exactly 10 years ago – 6 May 2010 at 14:32 US Eastern Time – the Dow Jones Industrial Average suffered its second worst ever intra-day loss of 998 points – in just 5 minutes; it then took half an hour to get back to where the shambles started. Five years on, in April 2015 at the age of 36, Navinder Singh Sarao was indicted on 22 charges of financial misdemeanours. The authorities realised that market integrity was at stake and so, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Securities Exchange Commission, the FBI and the UK Met’s boys in blue swung into action.
Tags: Flash crash, high speed trading, pattern recognition
‘Crush it with Clouds’ by Sankar Sharma MSTA: If only we could do the same with Covid-19
As a handful of countries start lifting corona-virus related restrictions, Britain looks set to enter another 3 weeks of lockdown. Tuesday the 14th April was the second STA Monthly Meeting that was held online due to limits to the size of indoor gatherings. Our guest speaker, Sankar Sharma, was obviously delighted to be invited, saying he was proud to be ‘among the best in the world of technical analysis’.
Tags: Ichimoku Clouds, return, reward, risk, stops
It’s my birthday this month, so I’m looking at monthly candles: Not blowing them out though
Many markets this January have been a ‘Tale of Two Cities’ – or halves anyway. This has created a series of very interesting, and sometimes rare, single or two-candle patterns, reminding me of the song ‘Candle in the Wind’. Like the song’s lyrics, ‘’and it seems to me you lived your life, like a candle in the wind, never knowing who to cling to, when the rain set in’’. My gut instinct is to look carefully and special candles to see if they’ll give you a steer as to which way the wind is blowing.
ChiNext Composite the outperformer
Just over a month ago, we wrote that the index of all shares listed on the Growth Enterprise Board, the ChiNext, had broken up out of a small symmetrical triangle, and should rally to retracement resistance at 2155. It’s got there and more, up 7.6 per cent since the beginning of this year, outpacing other Chinese stock indices.
Tags: ChiNext, Fibonacci, relative strength
Charting the Markets on IG TV: With IG’s Senior Market Analyst Joshua Mahony
The TV and media team and IG are a slick lot with a busy production schedule. As well as producing text and video content, they coordinate news feeds for the platform and do their own analysis. From Monday to Friday there are 3 TV slots: at 07:30 London time (Pre-European open bulletin); 10:30 Charting the Markets; 16:00 Trading look ahead.
Dow and the Decennial Cycle: Article by David McMinn in Market Technician magazine
Like it or not, we are closing in on the end of September and the third quarter of 2019. Some are scurrying around the Federal Reserve Bank of New York desperate for cash to tidy up their books coinciding with […]
Tags: annual, cycles, decade, Quarterly, year-end
Charting the Markets with IG TV: Patricia Elbaz goes to school
I think that Patricia Elbaz MSTA just might be IG TV host Jeremy Naylor’s teacher’s pet. In his own words: ‘’through an interesting summer…and a difficult time ahead, it’s back to school’’ – especially for Patricia who lectures at several […]
It’s all in the price – as every technical analyst knows: But how good is your arithmetic?
‘’A basic premise of the technical approach is that market action discounts everything: all that is known, or can be known, is ‘in the price’. Technical analysis is therefore not concerned with the underlying value of a security, but with […]
Tags: Mean Regression, ratio, relative, scale, spread, Standard Deviation, value
Technical Analysis by Clive Lambert MSTA: A journey through a career in the City using Technical Analysis
Technical Analysis is the study of the markets using price action and data. That’s probably the simplest way to describe it, but what does that mean? To explain this I thought I’d take you through my own journey; my 30+ […]
Putting doji candlesticks into practice: Recent real-life examples
On the 19th of July Jeremy Naylor’s guest on Charting the Markets for IG TV was Patricia Elbaz, independent technical analyst and university lecturer. She gave an excellent introduction to the basics of candlestick charts: how they are constructed, the […]
Watch with IG TV: The fourth in the Charting the Markets series of videos
As part of the STA’s educational offering, here is today’s interview (5th April 2019) with Nicole Elliott on IG TV. Many will recognise her as a regular attendee at our monthly meetings, and Jeremy is a veteran, and ex-Bloomberg presenter […]
Tags: oscillators, Outlook, trading
Watch with IG TV: The third in the Charting the Markets series of videos
As part of the STA’s educational offering, here is today’s interview (29 March 2019) with Ron William, of Ron William Advisory, with Jeremy Naylor, on IG TV. Many will recognise Ron as a regular attendee at our monthly meetings, and […]
Tags: moving average, S&P500, Seasonality, Vix
Fake News: And alarmist headlines
Never mind the ‘fake news’ on social media. Alarmist headlines, sloppy opinion pieces masquerading as reporting, and targeted advertising mean many – like me – are becoming increasingly cynical. On Tuesday morning, in a print version of a free newspaper […]
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