The STA Blog - Technical Analysis - Page 18
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
In a lengthy study devised and written up by social psychologist Philip Tetlock and author Dan Gardner, thousands of laymen were pitted against ‘experts’ to see who could make the most accurate predictions, and with what degree of confidence. The […]
Tags: data, forecast, future, Prediction
Chaikin chalks it up: Speaks about his oscillator
One of the few economists that I follow, with his own web site, http://www.mauldineconomics.com/ sent me this yesterday. Sorry it’s so last-minute (dot com) but I just thought it might be worth a look. I’ve been using Marc’s oscillator for […]
Tags: Chaikin, extreme positions, oscillator
Commodity Channel Index Not forgotten
Yesterday I was invited for an interview at a business television programme. As per the form of the last twenty years (when this terrified technical analyst first appeared on camera) I emailed over my charts beforehand, complete with trend lines, […]
Tags: Commodity Chanel Index, oscillators, overbought
STA Summer Party: Continues with Philip Gray
The STA’s annual summer party was a real treat with the awarding of Diplomas to this year’s successful students followed by a presentation by an eminent speaker, then drinks and lots of nice nibbles for all later. An excellent turnout […]
STA Summer Party: plus Diploma Awards
Before we tell you about the STA’s annual summer party, and before you hear about the riveting presentation given by Philip Gray FSTA focusing on Chinese markets, we have to tell you about the first part of the evening. This […]
Tags: exam, London School of Economics, STA Diploma
Mantras peddled by the fund management industry: Spot and avoid
The wild gyrations in global markets since the Brexit vote to leave the EU have brought out the best and the worst in markets and pundits. Volatility in UK shares following the vote to leave the EU is “no reason […]
Tags: Brexit, Cash, tracker, volatility
The Inner Lives of Markets: How People Shape them and they Shape Us
In last week’s blog we covered David Sneddon’s talk at the STA’s June monthly meeting. You can read this on www.technicalanalysts.com where members can also view a video recording of the presentation. Starting with a proprietary risk asset tool designed […]
Sneddon sets us thinking: STA firm favourite
We welcomed back to our monthly meeting one of our members’ favourite speakers: David Sneddon, MD global strategy TA at Credit Suisse in London where he has been working for about twenty years – technical analysis is really his life’s […]
Tags: correlation, Fundamentals, macro, risk appetite
Long term charts: Like gold dust
Throughout my career I have placed an inordinate value on long term charts. In this day and age of on-line information, where allegedly everything is available at the touch of a button, scratch a little and you’ll find this is […]
Tags: debt, deflation, Long term history, yield
Gloomy technical analysts get press coverage
Earlier this year – mid-February to be precise – the Weekend FT’s Money section printed an article by John Dizard. Considered one of their more serious commentators, the piece was entitled ‘Technical analysts have a pretty gloomy outlook for risk […]
Tags: inflation, long term trends, Martin Pring, Relative charts
Gann again: A great trader
Recent work of mine on Fibonacci, inspired in part by the mathematical garden at the Chelsea Flower Show (designed by silver gilt winner and head gardener at the Chelsea Physic Garden Nick Bailey), started me thinking about magical numbers. These […]
Bank underground: An STA shortcut?
Not the quickest route to the STA’s monthly meeting but the Bank of England’s blog for staff to share views. http://bankunderground.co.uk/ When Dan Nixon of the Stakeholders Communications & Strategy division writes thus: Economic theory generally assumes that more consumption […]
Tags: ageing, Austerity, Bank of England, demographics
The value of volatility: Measures and comparisons
Approached by an STA member recently at a monthly meeting, he showed me a very interesting report by FTSE Russell, an organisation producing equity benchmarks and research on these, wholly owned by the London Stock Exchange Group. Of the five […]
Tags: large cap, small cap, stock markets, UK indices, volatility
Come to the monthly meeting: But leave your ego at home
Yesterday Thomas Anthonj of JP Morgan Securities, Ltd. was invited back to tell STA members more about his successful systematic trading method which is based on Elliott Wave theory and Fibonacci applications. As a foreign exchange strategist for the firm […]
Looking ahead: With stats or a crystal ball
All of us would probably like to know what’ll happen next; it’d make life so much easier, knowing what to prepare for and when – no doubt leading to a more fulfilling, if not accepting/fatalistic existence. Mind you, pity the […]
Tags: fashion, food, marketing, Predicting
Of predictive value: yes or no?
Very recently I came across this chart of the S&P 500 index. It shows the major downturns it has seen four times since the 1970’s, where each one starts at a theoretical 1 (or 100 per cent). Every one of […]
Tags: Dow Jones Industrial Average, Nikkei 225, S&P 500
Secrets of the Charts: As revealed by Shares magazine
A colleague last week brought to my attention an article in the latest issue of Shares magazine and asked what I had thought of it. Not only did I have to admit that I hadn’t seen it – ‘yet’ I […]
Tags: article, Education, mainstream, media
Steven Goldstein – the Performer: Tells engrossing tales of traders, tendencies and traits
Describing himself as a coach and consultant who teaches on the STA’s Diploma course, veteran City trader Steven Goldstein (the punters’ magician) laid out his cards at yesterday’s STA monthly meeting. Wowing members, one guest was overheard saying later that, […]
Tags: Behavioural finance, Psychology, trader types
Fundamental analysis: Through the eyes of a techie
Oh not that old chestnut, you groan! No chance, not here that’s for sure. The arguments and discussions surrounding the relative merits of fundamental versus technical analysis are too old hat, blinkered and dreary and only for the bigoted. But […]
Tags: charts, Fundamental analysis, marketing timing
Maximising moving averages with histograms
Loved by the trading community and developed by Gerald Appel about forty years ago the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD as it’s usually known) aims to drill down into trends – and when they begin to lose momentum. Calculated by subtracting […]
Tags: DPO, histogram, MACD, moving averages
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