The STA Blog - Trading - Page 21
Trend following Wilder’s RSI trendline breaks
Since my last blog post regarding Fibonacci Extensions for profit targets, I have received some great feedback, so I would like to say thank you to everyone who took the time to read it. In this post I will be […]
Tags: relative strength, RSI, Stock market, volatility
FTSE’s 6,000 line has been respected by the market yet again!
On 18th February, on behalf of the Society of Technical Analysts, I presented the inaugural Finance Society lecture at Anglia Ruskin University’s Lord Ashcroft International Business School and showed the following chart. I argued that before making significant new highs […]
Using Fibs for profit targets
First of all I would like to say I hope I can do the blog justice in Nicole Elliott’s absence as I have immensely enjoyed her posts so far, secondly I wanted to post something in this blog that I […]
Tags: Fibonacci, Ratios, Stock market, trending
Vix and volatility: To be anticipated
The S&P 500 index this year had held in the tiniest range in decades – 3.5 per cent either side of its opening level – then in August the beast turned nasty. Taking so many by surprise the Vix index, […]
Tags: Japanese yen, stock indices, US dollar
How bond traders use charts: without being technical analysts
Did you know that there are an awful lot of market professionals out there who are not technical analysts – yet they use charts all the time. As a technical analyst you might well believe that you have little to […]
Fractals in markets: How to spot them
According to Wikipedia: A fractal is a natural phenomenon or a mathematical set that exhibits a repeating pattern that displays at every scale. If the replication is exactly the same at every scale, it is called a self-similar pattern. An example of this is the Menger Sponge. […]
Tags: gold, Malaysia, stock indices
Drawing the line: Correctly
The quickest and easiest way to establish a trend is by drawing a trend line, yet it is unbelievable and frightening how often these are done incorrectly. At the risk of being pedantic and accused of treating readers condescendingly, we […]
Tags: channel, pitchfork, Trends
Colouring candles: Conventions and perception
In the olden days charts were kept by hand. Graph paper was usually white, though sometimes pale green was preferred as it is said to be easier on the eye. Sharpened pencils at the ready the working day started and […]
Holiday money: where to bag a bargain
School’s out for summer and for once the pound is stronger against the euro. This becomes immediately apparent as you walk past the bureau de change along the high street but the question is whether it’s the euro’s fault (and […]
Tags: FX, per cent, relative strength
Summer sales: When is a discount too good to be true?
The summer sales are in full swing on the UK High Street, red banners proclaiming savings of 20, 40 and up to 70 per cent off the original retail price. Having become used to year-round promotions, become cynical about marketing […]
A blast from the past: Bubbles, baths and blood
Founder member of the STA Philip Gray treated us to a no-holds-barred look into manias and the madness of crowds last night. Warning us: ‘this lecture will seriously damage your wealth’ he regaled us with interesting, and many hilarious anecdotes […]
Tags: Bubbles, overvaluation, volatility
When markets shift two per cent: in a day
There are many rules of thumb involving market moves and the size of these; a ten per cent stock market decline is called a correction and 20 per cent drop a bear market. But what can we conclude when markets […]
Tags: percentages, Price moves, volatility
Secondary Indicators: Skipped so often
How many roll up their sleeves in a hurry, study the price chart of their favourite financial instrument, using the same old methods and time frame, all the time. When questioned, the usual retort is that this is their preferred […]
Tags: margin debt, open interest, short-selling, volatility, volume
Seasonality: Does it really exist?
With the British summer social season at full tilt – Queen’s and Ascot this week, Chelsea and Epsom earlier – I was thinking of how this affects markets. Personally I have never been a great one for cycles, agricultural, Fibonacci […]
Tags: commodities, Cylecs, Gann
Poisonous behaviour: Fund managers are subject to this
So said Dr Keith Anderson yesterday at the STA’s monthly meeting in London. An interesting talk based on lectures given to third year students in finance at York University – and it showed. Perfect timing, good clear slides, lots of […]
The element of surprise: Can technical analysis help?
This week the euro rallied five US cents in 65 hours, despite on-going Greek drama, and all too many financial analysts were stumped, slaughtered, and lost for words. I have been wondering whether technical analysis can help in predicting surprise, […]
Tags: countertrend, FX, open interest, polling, volatility, volume
Media hones headlines: Because they sell
In a week where the Shanghai Composite Index lost 10 per cent of face value in just two days, cries of ‘tears’, and ‘I told you so’ abound. There is also an element of schadenfreude as these same writers didn’t […]
Tags: Bear Market, China, Equities, Indices, Stock market
Tops and bottoms – Which is which?
In a week when Britain saw deflation for the first time in 55 years, and too many European government bonds yield less than nothing, one begins to question one’s sanity in this topsy turvy world. It set me thinking about […]
Polling and reality: What do they know?
Walking back from my local polling station today, determined to say my piece in the most unusual and unpredictable British election in living memory, I started thinking about opinion polls. Dictionary definitions of ‘poll’ include: The process of voting in […]
Technical Analysis in a negative world: Who pays who?
Once upon a time life was easy. If you were a ‘good’ person you saved money, deposited at a bank that you trusted, it would earn interest and then, with a bit of luck, you could buy the big-ticket item […]
Tags: bonds, Europe, interest rates, money, Negative Yields
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