The STA Blog - Page 20
A fistful of FSTAs come out to play
For those of you who couldn’t make the STA’s 30th birthday party on the 30th November – you missed a real treat. Originally ACTA (the Association of Chart and Technical Analysts founded in 1968) Philip Gray, Fellow of the Society […]
Tags: dinner, FSTA, membership, website
Russell Napier’s rapier: Incisive views
Describing himself as a financial historian Russell Napier’s talk at the STA’s December meeting was thorough yet refreshing. Willing to cut through jargon, slice and dice received wisdom, hack through complacency, and generally challenge the status quo, he certainly got […]
Dinner date to remember: At the National Liberal Club
For some years now the STA has been holding its annual dinner at the National Liberal Club – preferably when the Liberal Party’s MPs and supporters are off in another UK city attending their annual conference. You see, STA members […]
Tags: Annual dinner, Liberal Club, speaker
Variations on a pitchfork: Adding Quartiles
You may not use it yourself, but you’ve probably heard of the Andrews Pitchfork. At first sight it looks like some sort of mean regression with standard deviations either side and, because of this, it is also known as the […]
Heard the one about HypnoTrading? Well, you’re about to
Saturday I was invited to take part in a panel discussion at the Financial Trading Summit in London’s May Fair Hotel, organised by a UK online broker and spread betting firm; it was well attended and judged a success. I […]
Tags: discipline, Hypnotherapy, rules
Memories of October 1987: As markets reel at Trumponomics
Stock, bond, and FX markets have been on a wild ride since the so-called ‘surprise’ election of Donald Trump as 45th US President. He doesn’t start the job until January but already there is much speculation as to who he […]
Tags: crash, gaps, October 1987, Stocks
The Importance of Cloud Charting
The evening of the US election, with a general consensus betting on a Hilary win, the STA flock turn up to see one of our very own speak at the Bitish Banking Association. Nicole Elliott is famed for bringing Ichimoku […]
Round the Clock Trader: supported by the STA
Remember, remember the 5th of November – and while most of the UK was planning bonfires and baked potatoes, traders had quite another fish to fry. Organised by Simon Campbell who has several years’ experience under his belt, the Connaught […]
Tags: conference, events, FX
Long term charts: like gold dust
Historical data has value, adds perspective, and is an interesting pursuit in itself. Providers of analytics and technical analysis boast about how far back their charts go; the reality is that this is the case for only a handful of […]
Tags: accuracy, Historical data, perspective
Asset class returns: From JPMorgan
I know this isn’t pure technical analysis but I thought you might be interested in some recent research from the bank’s Asset Management division which I received. If nothing else it is a salutary lesson in how careful one must […]
Tags: Asset classes, performance, returns
Will it keep going? And what about gravity?
An STA member very kindly sent me a link to an old but interesting article published in The Economist magazine. It gives details of studies conducted into the concept of momentum in financial markets and how to square this with […]
Tags: benchmarking, efficient markets, Memntum, reversion to mean
An act of faith: and an Australian soul
Yesterday’s speaker at the STA’s monthly meeting was a breath of fresh air – flying in from the outback via the Jesuits who helped him hone his fantastic memory for numbers (he says). A handy skill as Stephen M Barrett […]
Let’s start at the very beginning: With Technical Analysis
From time immemorial man has tried to predict the future. Using omens, soothsayers and the stars, moving through to accountants who delve into the details of a company ‘Dragons Den’ style to decide whether to invest, or big-picture thinking known as macro-economics, the top-down study of global economic trends.
Tags: Dow theory, patterns, Supply and demand
Gold conundrum Can psychology help?
This year I’ve found charting gold very difficult indeed. Not so impossible that I begin to doubt my abilities as a technical analyst, but hard enough to warrant a lot of head scratching, caution with my forecasts, and to remind […]
Tags: extremes, oscillators, percentages, Psychology
The Fibonacci Numerical Sequence and Golden Ratio
An introduction to the Italian mathematician, Leonardo Fibonacci (circa 1170-1250), will be dispensed with as the man is less relevant to this article than what he documented in his 13th century book Liber Abaci: namely his discovery of the Hindu number sequence […]
Local lad done good: Careers to be proud of
Lambeth born Lee Sandford started as an apprentice for Portsmouth Football Club at the age of 13 on just over 13 quid a week. By 17 he’d turned professional working his way through to Stoke City and Sheffield United. While […]
Tags: exponential moving average, measured move, pullbacks, Symmetry
Is it a bull? Or is it a bear?
We all know that it takes opposing opinions to make a market; that prices will change as these shift, sometimes slowly, dramatically at other times. Brexit was perhaps a good example of received wisdom taking a real hit. Some suggest […]
Tags: gold, percentage moves, precious metals, time horizon
Ratios and spreads: Ways to compare
This week’s report by the Institute of Fiscal Studies into the difference between men and women’s pay was all too predictable and just as disappointing. Precious little progress in narrowing the gap not just in hourly pay, but promotion prospects […]
Tags: differentials, Ratios, regression, Spreads
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
In a lengthy study devised and written up by social psychologist Philip Tetlock and author Dan Gardner, thousands of laymen were pitted against ‘experts’ to see who could make the most accurate predictions, and with what degree of confidence. The […]
Tags: data, forecast, future, Prediction
Chaikin chalks it up: Speaks about his oscillator
One of the few economists that I follow, with his own web site, http://www.mauldineconomics.com/ sent me this yesterday. Sorry it’s so last-minute (dot com) but I just thought it might be worth a look. I’ve been using Marc’s oscillator for […]
Tags: Chaikin, extreme positions, oscillator
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