The STA Blog - Page 21
The Fibonacci Numerical Sequence and Golden Ratio
An introduction to the Italian mathematician, Leonardo Fibonacci (circa 1170-1250), will be dispensed with as the man is less relevant to this article than what he documented in his 13th century book Liber Abaci: namely his discovery of the Hindu number sequence […]
Local lad done good: Careers to be proud of
Lambeth born Lee Sandford started as an apprentice for Portsmouth Football Club at the age of 13 on just over 13 quid a week. By 17 he’d turned professional working his way through to Stoke City and Sheffield United. While […]
Tags: exponential moving average, measured move, pullbacks, Symmetry
Is it a bull? Or is it a bear?
We all know that it takes opposing opinions to make a market; that prices will change as these shift, sometimes slowly, dramatically at other times. Brexit was perhaps a good example of received wisdom taking a real hit. Some suggest […]
Tags: gold, percentage moves, precious metals, time horizon
Ratios and spreads: Ways to compare
This week’s report by the Institute of Fiscal Studies into the difference between men and women’s pay was all too predictable and just as disappointing. Precious little progress in narrowing the gap not just in hourly pay, but promotion prospects […]
Tags: differentials, Ratios, regression, Spreads
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
In a lengthy study devised and written up by social psychologist Philip Tetlock and author Dan Gardner, thousands of laymen were pitted against ‘experts’ to see who could make the most accurate predictions, and with what degree of confidence. The […]
Tags: data, forecast, future, Prediction
Chaikin chalks it up: Speaks about his oscillator
One of the few economists that I follow, with his own web site, http://www.mauldineconomics.com/ sent me this yesterday. Sorry it’s so last-minute (dot com) but I just thought it might be worth a look. I’ve been using Marc’s oscillator for […]
Tags: Chaikin, extreme positions, oscillator
Commodity Channel Index Not forgotten
Yesterday I was invited for an interview at a business television programme. As per the form of the last twenty years (when this terrified technical analyst first appeared on camera) I emailed over my charts beforehand, complete with trend lines, […]
Tags: Commodity Chanel Index, oscillators, overbought
JPMorgan Run
Last Thursday, the STA participated in the annual JPMorgan run to raise money for Cancer Research UK. This year we had a great turn out with over 15 runners who all did extremely well. We started at the Prince Albert […]
STA Summer Party: Continues with Philip Gray
The STA’s annual summer party was a real treat with the awarding of Diplomas to this year’s successful students followed by a presentation by an eminent speaker, then drinks and lots of nice nibbles for all later. An excellent turnout […]
STA Summer Party: plus Diploma Awards
Before we tell you about the STA’s annual summer party, and before you hear about the riveting presentation given by Philip Gray FSTA focusing on Chinese markets, we have to tell you about the first part of the evening. This […]
Tags: exam, London School of Economics, STA Diploma
Mantras peddled by the fund management industry: Spot and avoid
The wild gyrations in global markets since the Brexit vote to leave the EU have brought out the best and the worst in markets and pundits. Volatility in UK shares following the vote to leave the EU is “no reason […]
Tags: Brexit, Cash, tracker, volatility
The Inner Lives of Markets: How People Shape them and they Shape Us
In last week’s blog we covered David Sneddon’s talk at the STA’s June monthly meeting. You can read this on www.technicalanalysts.com where members can also view a video recording of the presentation. Starting with a proprietary risk asset tool designed […]
Sneddon sets us thinking: STA firm favourite
We welcomed back to our monthly meeting one of our members’ favourite speakers: David Sneddon, MD global strategy TA at Credit Suisse in London where he has been working for about twenty years – technical analysis is really his life’s […]
Tags: correlation, Fundamentals, macro, risk appetite
Long term charts: Like gold dust
Throughout my career I have placed an inordinate value on long term charts. In this day and age of on-line information, where allegedly everything is available at the touch of a button, scratch a little and you’ll find this is […]
Tags: debt, deflation, Long term history, yield
Gloomy technical analysts get press coverage
Earlier this year – mid-February to be precise – the Weekend FT’s Money section printed an article by John Dizard. Considered one of their more serious commentators, the piece was entitled ‘Technical analysts have a pretty gloomy outlook for risk […]
Tags: inflation, long term trends, Martin Pring, Relative charts
Gann again: A great trader
Recent work of mine on Fibonacci, inspired in part by the mathematical garden at the Chelsea Flower Show (designed by silver gilt winner and head gardener at the Chelsea Physic Garden Nick Bailey), started me thinking about magical numbers. These […]
Bank underground: An STA shortcut?
Not the quickest route to the STA’s monthly meeting but the Bank of England’s blog for staff to share views. http://bankunderground.co.uk/ When Dan Nixon of the Stakeholders Communications & Strategy division writes thus: Economic theory generally assumes that more consumption […]
Tags: ageing, Austerity, Bank of England, demographics
The value of volatility: Measures and comparisons
Approached by an STA member recently at a monthly meeting, he showed me a very interesting report by FTSE Russell, an organisation producing equity benchmarks and research on these, wholly owned by the London Stock Exchange Group. Of the five […]
Tags: large cap, small cap, stock markets, UK indices, volatility
Come to the monthly meeting: But leave your ego at home
Yesterday Thomas Anthonj of JP Morgan Securities, Ltd. was invited back to tell STA members more about his successful systematic trading method which is based on Elliott Wave theory and Fibonacci applications. As a foreign exchange strategist for the firm […]
Technical Trading: Is it still beating the foreign exchange market?
Academics from the University of Hong Kong and University of Warwick have carried out a large-scale investigation of technical trading rules in the foreign exchange market, using daily data over 45 years for 30 developed and emerging market currencies. Employing […]
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The views and opinions expressed on the STA’s blog do not necessarily represent those of the Society of Technical Analysts (the “STA”), or of any officer, director or member of the STA. The STA makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information on the blog or found by following any link on blog, and none of the STA, STA Administrative Services or any current or past executive board members are liable for any errors, omissions, or delays in this information or any losses, injuries, or damages arising from its display or use. None of the information on the STA’s blog constitutes investment advice.
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