The STA Blog - Page 22
Looking ahead: With stats or a crystal ball
All of us would probably like to know what’ll happen next; it’d make life so much easier, knowing what to prepare for and when – no doubt leading to a more fulfilling, if not accepting/fatalistic existence. Mind you, pity the […]
Tags: fashion, food, marketing, Predicting
Of predictive value: yes or no?
Very recently I came across this chart of the S&P 500 index. It shows the major downturns it has seen four times since the 1970’s, where each one starts at a theoretical 1 (or 100 per cent). Every one of […]
Tags: Dow Jones Industrial Average, Nikkei 225, S&P 500
Secrets of the Charts: As revealed by Shares magazine
A colleague last week brought to my attention an article in the latest issue of Shares magazine and asked what I had thought of it. Not only did I have to admit that I hadn’t seen it – ‘yet’ I […]
Tags: article, Education, mainstream, media
Steven Goldstein – the Performer: Tells engrossing tales of traders, tendencies and traits
Describing himself as a coach and consultant who teaches on the STA’s Diploma course, veteran City trader Steven Goldstein (the punters’ magician) laid out his cards at yesterday’s STA monthly meeting. Wowing members, one guest was overheard saying later that, […]
Tags: Behavioural finance, Psychology, trader types
Fundamental analysis: Through the eyes of a techie
Oh not that old chestnut, you groan! No chance, not here that’s for sure. The arguments and discussions surrounding the relative merits of fundamental versus technical analysis are too old hat, blinkered and dreary and only for the bigoted. But […]
Tags: charts, Fundamental analysis, marketing timing
Maximising moving averages with histograms
Loved by the trading community and developed by Gerald Appel about forty years ago the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD as it’s usually known) aims to drill down into trends – and when they begin to lose momentum. Calculated by subtracting […]
Tags: DPO, histogram, MACD, moving averages
Why investors keep buying shares that are bad for them
Dr Keith Anderson, lecturer of accounting and finance at the University of York, and also a guest speaker at one of our monthly STA meetings had an article recently printed in the Interactive Investor. Click on link below to read. […]
Pattern recognition: Man versus machine
To coincide with St Patrick’s Day last week Scientific American posted on social media a short video to help you spot a four-leaf clover. Presented by a self-confessed egg-head, the focus is on pattern recognition and how science can help […]
Tags: artificial intelligence, Chart patterns, recognition
A sense of perspective: How much does one need
Looking at the beautiful photos taken by British astronaut Tim Peake from the International Space Station reminded me of how important distance and familiarity are to technical analysis. When charting a new market or instrument I always insist on starting […]
Tags: data history, Foreign exchange, perspective
Peaks and tops: Markets and trends
As technical analysts we are all too aware of the sort of chart patterns we should look for at market tops. Double and triple tops, quadruple ones even, the ubiquitous head and shoulders, islands, shooting or evening stars and hanging […]
Tom DeMark finds the time: Creator of DeMark Indicators
Introduced by Guido Riolo, Bloomberg’s Head of Charting, as ‘a genius of the world of finance’ whose Sequential®, Combo®, and TD Lines® the terminal supplies, audience expectations were running high at the STA’s monthly meeting. A heavyweight in the world […]
Tags: day counts, exhaustion, Market timing
STA at The Shard: Joint event with Warwick Business School
Organised by Tom Hicks MENG MSTA MSCI, and more importantly the STA’s Head of Programmes, for many members it was an opportunity to scale new heights – if you could manage the rather complicated lifts to the 17th floor, that […]
Tags: flows, moving average, Psychology, uncertainty
Review: Fortune Tellers, Walter A Friedman
An idea suggested by STA members, and one I wholeheartedly support, is not a ‘Book Club’ as such (way too bourgeois) but a forum to showcase and discuss books that are either new, useful, or beautiful (to paraphrase William Morris); […]
Tags: Babson, forecasting, Moody, Prediction
Riccardo Ronco flies in: Momentum builds
This month’s speaker, Riccardo Ronco of institutional equity brokerage Aviate Global, dashed in on a cold London evening looking just as dapper as you’d expect of an Italian. Claiming his compatriots were no good at cracking jokes to break the […]
Tags: Equities, mean reversion, moving averages, Trend
Nicole Elliott Interview series: Anne Whitby FSTA
Anne Whitby FSTA kicks off our series of interviews with leading technical analysts. As part of our social media programme, and in an effort to help and educate budding professional and amateur chartists, this series aims at giving a light-hearted […]
Secondary, tertiary, and other indicators
We all know that the prime mover of technical analysis is a time series analysis of market prices, sometimes labelled as ‘descriptive statistics’ by statisticians. They then call all further analysis based on this data ‘inductive statistics’ which include forecasts, generalisations, and extrapolations.
Annual panel debate: A broad-ranging discussion
Rather than the usual monthly format of guest speaker presentation followed by a handful of questions, January’s get together encourages audience participation and debate between the speakers themselves. The STA was lucky to have a panel of three very different […]
Tags: bonds, commodities, FX, Stocks
Coppock’s indicator: Mercifully, monthly only
If, like me, you have spent way too many hours, days, and years studying charts – and more often than not staring blankly at computer screens – it’s nice to know some things only have to be done very occasionally; […]
Tags: Coppock, Indices, monthly readings
Bank of England treads carefully: Cautious, considered and flexible
These were the themes of Minouche Shafik, Deputy Governor markets and banking at the Bank of England, who chose the Institute of Directors’ grand premises on Pall Mall as the venue for her first major monetary policy speech. With a […]
Not reverting to type: Though CAPE mean reverts
Why oh why did I tell Professor Russell Napier that traditionally the speaker at December’s meeting should be brief because he kept STA members from the canapés and drinks at the after-party? The man is quite the maverick and rattled […]
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The views and opinions expressed on the STA’s blog do not necessarily represent those of the Society of Technical Analysts (the “STA”), or of any officer, director or member of the STA. The STA makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information on the blog or found by following any link on blog, and none of the STA, STA Administrative Services or any current or past executive board members are liable for any errors, omissions, or delays in this information or any losses, injuries, or damages arising from its display or use. None of the information on the STA’s blog constitutes investment advice.
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