The STA Blog - Page 4
‘Central banks need to show a bit more imagination’: Says ex-Bank of England chief economist Andy Haldane
Now multi-tasking, this ex-chief economist claims, ‘I love inflation targets, having been involved in their design and implementation…for more than 30 years’. Writing in the Weekend FT on the 4th March his article so incensed me that I decided to […]
Tags: Central banks, inflation, money supply, targets
Rectangles and straightjackets: Can cause chaos
A very long time ago a journalist specialising in Indian stocks working for the Hindustan Times contacted me at the dealing room of the Japanese bank where I worked as a technical analyst. He wanted views and comment, especially on […]
Tags: Breakouts, measurements, Ranges, rectangle
The joys of spring! Well, that’s what the UK meteorological office tells me
The first of March is the official start of British spring according to the Met Office. Founded in 1854 and based in Exeter, Devon (nice work if you can get it), this quarterly point – which doesn’t coincide with our […]
Tags: monthly candles, quarters, spring
Thinking of couples and pairs: Seeing as it’s Valentine’s Day
Like many of the more irritating North American customs, celebrating February the 14th has become mainstream in the UK. Restaurants booked out with sorry tables for two, supermarket specials daubed with red hearts and, according to social media, Valentine cards […]
Fireside (virtual) chat with Dr Ken Long: Hosted by Jeff Boccaccio
Fireside (virtual) chat with Dr Ken Long: Hosted by Jeff Boccaccio Well before yesterday evening’s event, a detailed email had been sent to STA members trumpeting this Zoom meeting and containing links to several texts** relevant to the talk. The […]
Tags: Mean Regression, probability
‘Bubble Trouble’: Revisiting the work of Charles Mackay
Saturday’s FT Weekend Magazine’s (28/01/23) cover trumpeted a feature about ‘bulbs, Birkins, bored apes’ by Tim Harford. A provider of media content for print and radio, I find him engaging and surprisingly witty – for an economist. His premise: ‘What […]
Tags: Bubbles, madness. irrational exhuberance, manias
January is a long month: Its tempting to wish it away
Despite New Year festivities in the majority of countries which follow the Gregorian calendar, and Lunar New Year which this year started on 22nd January and causes the biggest annual mass migration (China), plus the easing of travel restrictions as […]
Tags: Andrews Pitchfork, Ichimoku Clouds, moving averages
STA, ACI UK & The Broker Club Joint Panel Debate: Market Outlook for 2023: Fundamental vs Technicals Perspective
Revisiting a format the STA has embraced for some years now, January’s regular monthly meeting on the 10th was a panel discussion on the outlook for foreign exchange markets in 2023. Speakers were asked to stick rigidly to their allocated […]
Tags: economics, forecast, Fundamentals, income
The year 2022 in words and charts: Dismal indeed
Most fund managers will admit that 2022 was a ‘difficult’ year; few will admit that if annual report cards were given out (as schoolteachers give to parents) the summary would read FAIL. Even fewer will go as far as admitting […]
Tags: Annual charts, doji candle, violent reversals
Happy Holiday and Best Wishes for the New Year
Wishing all members, colleagues and followers of the STA a very Merry Christmas and Happy New Year! The STA office will be closed on Friday 23 December until Tuesday 3 Janary 2023. We look forward to reconnecting with you all […]
Long nights and long term forecasts: Winter in the Northern hemisphere
For weeks now sundry pundits, economists and technical analysts have been laying out their plans and predictions for the year 2023 – and some dare go beyond that. I suppose the best that might be said is that the huge […]
Tags: forecasts, Outlook, seasonals
How to cope with holidays: All year around
I’m not going to resort to the usual media drivel to pad out a lean time for news. Nor am I going to tell you sanctimonious stories about dealing with too much food, the ‘outlaws’ and competitive parlour games. I’m […]
Tags: days in a week, gaps, hours in a day
Looking forwards and backwards: At this time of year
The child in me still looks forward to opening the little windows on her Advent calendar. Not the rather crass ones filled with chocolates and what not, but the traditional type where the fun is just seeing the picture behind. […]
Tags: evening stars, monthly charts, three-candle patterns
Long term weather forecast for power trading: Webinar from Refinitiv 17 November 2022
Refiinitiv Eikon presented a very interesting webinar last Thursday, with content provided by their European Power team. Despite being a lifelong fan of the Reuters terminal, now in its new incarnation as Refiniitiv Xenith, I wasn’t aware that they were […]
Tags: forecast, time horizon, Weather
‘Are you delusional?’: The title of Victoria Shepherd’s recent magazine article
The Autumn 2022 issue of the New Humanist contains this article, written to coincide with the publication of her latest book: ‘’A History of Delusions; the Glass King, a Substitute Husband and a Walking Corpse’’ (Blackstone Publishing). If that doesn’t […]
Tags: Psychology, unexpected
Larry the lad looking good: Despite trading since 1962
I was so looking forward to Larry Williams’ Fireside Chat with the STA’s Jeff Boccaccio on Tuesday the 8th November. For the first time the web-based presentation was open to STA members, their guests, plus all and sundry as a […]
Tags: charity, emotions, indicators, Risk management, seasonals
The Day of the (Living) Dead: Ghosts and ghouls at this time of year
Halloween yesterday on the 31st October passed without incident – despite an unexpected carved orange pumpkin being plonked on my gatepost. All Saints Day today, 1st November, has seen drizzle, sudden downpours and bright sunshine alternate quickly in London. Tomorrow, […]
Tags: background, Bear markets, depression, loss
Premiere of Energy Trading Week’s videos: Shared with speakers and attendees of their event in September
Yesterday, the 24th October 2022, the brains behind Energy Trading Week held a Zoom premiere to accompany the release of videos of the talks they hosted to hundreds, live at County Hall, London in September. Moderated by Marie Féjoz, Content […]
Tags: commodities, energy, environment, LNG, panellists
Four UK Chancellors – and counting: Counting the cost of the latest fiasco
A difficult year for the British economy and daunting times for its people. ‘Party gate’ toppled a Prime Minister who had won an election with a very large Conservative majority. It then took months of beauty parades to choose a […]
Jeff Boccaccio’s R-factory: And how it’s been trained to trade crypto
An interesting audience rocked up on Tuesday the 11th October’s STA monthly meeting – in-person at One Moorgate Place. Board member Jeff had probably enticed them with the title of his talk: ‘Simplifying (and Automating) Crypto in 3 Indicators’. Pals […]
Tags: Crypto, filters, systems
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