The STA Blog - Tag: probability
Seasonality, Cyclicals and Statistics: Probability rules!
Tuesday 12th November was the eagerly awaited STA monthly meeting with Dimitry Speck, creator and founder of Seasonax, presenting his ideas and software system. Unfortunately the poor man got Covid but had, at very short notice, managed to rope in […]
Tags: cycles, data, probability, seasons
Seasonality permeates many aspects of life: Financial markets are no exception
One of the many advantages of being a member of the Society of Technical Analysts (STA) is that, because we’re affiliated with the International Federation of Technical Analysts (IFTA), we can join their online presentations. I was advised by email […]
Tags: cycles, ETF, probability, Seasonality
Fireside (virtual) chat with Dr Ken Long: Hosted by Jeff Boccaccio
Fireside (virtual) chat with Dr Ken Long: Hosted by Jeff Boccaccio Well before yesterday evening’s event, a detailed email had been sent to STA members trumpeting this Zoom meeting and containing links to several texts** relevant to the talk. The […]
Tags: Mean Regression, probability
‘Replication crisis’: Why academic research struggles in the real world
I read a lot – and widely. In part out of sheer curiosity, sometimes to delve into a new subject and then again to find interesting information I might use in articles and social media. Today I present one of […]
Tags: correlation, probability, Research papers
Technical analysis works with trends: As every good fashionista knows
Trends, cycles, circles and surprises – all part of a day’s work for this blogger. Last week I briefly wrote about Robin Wilkin’s presentation at IFTA’s annual conference in London, 2014, attaching the video for visitors to www.technicalanalysts.com to watch. […]
Are you a superforecaster? I’m not
But I know of one who is! Philip E Tetlock, and colleague Dan Gardner, are the authors of the book ‘Superforecasting: the Art and Science of Prediction’ published by Cornerstone Digital in 2015. A Toronto-born academic, he works at the […]
Study volume at price: To enhance your options
Paul McLaren, founder of technical analysis firm Enhance Your Options Pty Ltd ©2017, addressed STA members Tuesday with some very interesting charts and ideas. Explaining how people, including us techies, can be divided into two camps – visuals and quants […]
Tags: Auction Martet Theory, histogram, Market Profile, probability, volume
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